The Heartbeat of the GCRS
So, here's a fun fact: I am a person with a deeply fascinating life, so fascinating that I occasionally feel the need to compile data on an online nation simulation game into spreadsheets, and make spurious analyses on that data. Therefore, to get something useful out of this urge, I have decided to track various items of quantitative data over each GCR each month of the year, and then inflict it on the Gameplay forum.
I doubt anyone has enough time to go through and check my data, but for full transparency, here are the non-obvious techniques I have used.
Per Week DataDiscord DataEndorsement PercentagesRegional Averages
JANUARYPopulation
Table 1 - 15th January to 22nd January
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Population 7292 7172 8785 6826 7239 3254 5276 5294 5384 Nations leaving/week 1248 1414 1346 1286 1231 540 654 599 625 Immigration/week 86 97 233 64 102 612 54 31 43 Founded/week 2273 2361 2412 2312 2325 0 1226 1219 1275 CTE/week 1170 1248 1328 1222 1324 409 804 811 803 Net growth/week -59 -204 -29 -132 -128 -337 -178 -160 -110
* There are no foundings in TRR. Originally I tried to calculate numbers of ejections, but as the ejection happening does not show in TRR's regional activity after the ejected nation had moved out of TRR, this was impossible to track.
Note the high levels of CTEing: I noticed many puppet sets dying while I was collecting this data, particularly in the sinkers. TNP displays a far higher level of immigration than all GCRs except TRR, which has an excuse. (Seriously, you thought the analysis would be good? Just give me a few months, then I'll have enough to make graphs!)
Table 2 - 22nd January to 29th January
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Population 7822 7609 9168 7286 7727 3360 5949 5609 5536 Nations leaving/week 1194 1236 1197 1235 1176 599 639 613 601 Immigration/week 104 111 201 69 81 1005 40 28 30 Founded/week 2377 2361 2302 2378 2381 0 1317 1353 1202 CTE/week 753 780 908 771 789 323 512 496 495 Net growth/week 534 456 398 441 497 83 206 272 136
Now that's looking a lot healthier! The gains from late January have balanced out the middle in the GCRs. TNP continues its pattern of high immigration. There's really not much to say about population yet, until I have enough data across time to make graphs of each GCR and analyse it properly.
Regional Engagement and Demographics
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Average residency 119 124 134 109 112 153 146 117 118 Average influence 288 936 6979 680 871 539 711 320 371 RMB messages in week 2150 1496 (2436)* 12881 556 1485 522 192 60 66 WFE Changes in Jan 3 5 5 1 4 5 6 0 0
*These messages were sent via embassy to Knowhere, TSP's roleplaying region.
Surprising nobody, TNP has the highest average influence, and TSP follows, another region with a culture of endotarting. I have no explanation for why nations stay in the Rejected Realms so long, but it's an impressive figure. The sinkers aren't that chatty - though is it a coincidence that Osiris and Balder have such similar numbers for both WFE changes and RMB posts?
WA Stats
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Endorsements per week 173 3146 17476 1534 4497 1403 699 184 167 Admits/week 45 69 103 48 78 * 19 32 30 Endorsements on del 514 433 1045 537 673 184 232 203 268 Total WA 700 726 1558 691 918 470 388 337 368 Percent of WA on del 0.73 0.60 0.67 0.78 0.73 0.39 0.60 0.60 0.73 Avg endos 0.32 3.1 26.19 1.77 3.9 1.54 1.41 0.39 0.28
*Nearly all of the admits I saw in the regional happenings of TRR were R/D puppets that had only been ejected after admitting. The endorsements were not quite so dominated, so I have included them.
Scrolling through TNP's endorsements will make your browser freeze - I don't recommend it. TSP is in the process of switching delegates and TNP has just switched - I wonder how their figures will change in the coming months. TRR's low delegate endorsing percentage may be due to WA ejected puppets, but that can't be all of the reason. Yuno has brought an extremely high rate of admits to TEP, and the region known for being so laid back now has nearly 1000 WA nations. Impressive.
Forum Activity
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Days active 8/7/2007 3/25/2014 11/25/2005 11/3/2012 5/31/2003 10/17/2004 12/9/2017 12/1/2013 10/19/2011 Days since foundation 3829 1407 4449 1914 5358 4853 52 1521 2295 Posts 210,266 166,363 536,051 60097 203,220 95,154 362 70,838 125,954 Posts per day 54.9 118.2 120.5 31.4 37.9 19.6 7.0 46.6 54.9 Members 3134 909 3327 1498 3020 1906 60 769 1185 Members per day 0.82 0.65 0.75 0.78 0.56 0.39 1.15 0.51 0.52 Posts per member 67.1 183.0 161.1 40.1 67.3 49.9 6.0 92.1 106.3
Unsurprisingly, the older forums have the most members. Lazarus is in the early stages of rebuilding its forum community, it seems, with the most new members per day but the fewest posts. TNP has the most posts per day, and TSP has the most posts per member. TRR seems to have been left behind by the younger feeder forums, and has the lowest percentage of new members per day.
Discord Activity
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Foundation 7/18/2016 12/2/2015 2/11/2016 9/8/2016 12/21/17 11/30/2016 7/22/2016 7/29/2016 11/3/2016 Days since foundation 561 790 719 509 40 426 557 550 453 Public posts 120104 376084 755575 269396 89148 570493 88506 124862 174041 Posts per day 214.1 476.1 1050.9 529.3 2228.7 1339.2 158.9 227.0 384.2 Members 809 353 1126 382 231 248 238 187 172 Members per day 1.44 0.45 1.57 0.75 5.78 0.58 0.43 0.34 0.38 Posts per member 148.5 1065.4 671.0 705.2 385.9 2300.4 371.9 667.7 1011.9
TP's member numbers are inflated by the fact that their server hosts the New Pacific Order across several games, yet their social channels appear to be shut off from visitors, explaining the low post count per member. TSP's posts per day seems to be deflated by the fact it was the first of the GCRs to have a Discord chat, back when not many people used it, and low activity back then has brought down the numbers. TEP and TRR use bots a lot, which partially explains their high post count per day. TEP is still gaining members back in the transition to a new server. I wonder if, in the servers with lowest post count, there are channels where most of the activity goes on? I wouldn't know. I am only a visitor and observer.
See you next month, I suppose.
FEBRUARYA few data sets have been added, and slight changes have been made to some categories. This should hopefully be the format for the rest of the year. Sorry for the inconsistency, just working out teething problems!
Population
8th - 15th February
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Population 8349 8210 9572 7951 8393 3704 6038 5734 5763 Founded/week 2672 2626 2588 2667 2757 1221 1188 1288 CTE/week 1172 1118 1197 1003 1140 415 717 692 728 Nations entering/week 97 111 194 81 96 996 28 26 19 Nations leaving/week 1408 1461 1369 1399 1399 452 587 569 598 Net growth/week 189 158 216 346 314 129 -55 -47 -19
There's been a boost in numbers in every feeder since late January, with 400-700 extra nations in each feeder, resulting from an increase in foundings. The sinkers have benefited a little less from this, gaining roughly 100 nations each, and have also been suffering mild population loss this week. The North Pacific continues its pattern of high immigration. Despite having the second highest immigration rate of the feeders, the South Pacific had the least net growth among them, seemingly owing to slightly-below-average foundings and above-average emigration. The West Pacific, currently the smallest feeder, has the greatest net growth, probably due to its low number of CTEs. The sinkers seem equal, with Balder's higher amount of refounds seeming to perfectly account for its higher net growth than the other sinkers.
16th-23rd February
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Population 8397 8357 9713 8063 8462 3781 6011 5712 5758 Founded/week 2386 2451 2424 2461 2391 1309 1171 1182 CTE/week 1180 1171 1198 1127 1199 419 653 613 596 Nations entering/week 89 103 195 61 91 1013 34 19 26 Nations leaving/week 1199 1215 1228 1232 1193 449 603 580 601 Net growth/week 96 168 193 163 90 145 87 -3 11
The number of foundings falls again to the level of late January. Net growth in the feeders falls accordingly. The North Pacific's typical influx of nations gives it the highest net growth of the week, with the East Pacific and the Pacific falling behind. The West Pacific, despite again having the fewest nations entering, holds its own in net growth thanks to having the fewest CTEs. The sinkers remain overall similar to last week. Lazarus has a small influx of nations moving in, plus the highest number of refounds, giving it the highest net growth of the sinkers. The Rejected Realms' population has increased a little in both weeks, and is now 400 nations larger than in January, perhaps owing to fewer nations moving out this month.
Regional Engagement and Demographics
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Avg residency 115 116 130 102 106 135 146 117 117 Avg influence 280 908 6673 647 950 522 633 319 313 RMB messages in week 2119 3129(+86*) 7994 308 873 582 119 121 101 WFE Changes in Feb 10 4 2 0 0 5 4 2 0
* these messages were sent by embassy to Knowhere, the TSP roleplaying region
Thanks to the increased founding rates, residency has decreased among all feeders, while the sinkers have almost identical figures to last month. The same has happened with average influence, this time over all GCRs (except TEP). Osiris and Balder are almost the same in both figures, while Lazarus has the highest average residency and influence of the sinkers, due to a higher age and a higher endorsement cap. Among the feeders, unsurprisingly, the North Pacific has the most influence due to all the endorsements, and the East and South Pacific follow, regions with a culture of cross-endorsement. The East Pacific is the only GCR whose average influence has grown, from 871 in January to 950 in February, reflecting the massive effort to develop the WA in this region. Osiris and Balder's RMBs have been used far more this month, as has the South Pacific's, while the North Pacific's number of RMB posts in a week has fallen from 12881, and the West Pacific's RMB activity has also fallen. The North Pacific remains the most active RMB, however.
WA Stats
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Endorsements per week 506 1236 10447 928 1640 * 254 41 42 Admits/week 45 74 84 57 63 * 22 27 25 Endorsements on del 522 501 1046 577 712 221 261 206 249 Total WA 720 784 1504 748 949 569 421 366 344 Percentage of WA endorsing del 0.73 0.64 0.70 0.77 0.75 0.39 0.62 0.56 0.72 Percentage of region in WA 0.09 0.09 0.15 0.09 0.11 0.14 0.07 0.06 0.06 Avg endorsements 0.4 2.7 23.4 1.8 4.1 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.2
*too corrupted by R/D activity to be of any use
There were far fewer endorsements this month than last, with only the Pacific exceeding the figure from last month, which I believe is due to tarting sprees by Pergamon and Aleisyr. Despite this, the number of WA nations has risen in every region except the North Pacific and Balder. Accordingly, average endorsements in the North Pacific have fallen, though it is still by far the highest of any GCR. Balder, on the other hand, has the lowest average endorsements, and shares the lowest percentage of WA nations with Osiris. Since the delegate transitions in the North and South Pacifics, the percentage of WA nations endorsing each delegate has risen, though the South Pacific's percentage is still the lowest of the feeders, along with its number of delegate endorsements as a whole. The Rejected Realms' delegate endorsements have continued to rise but its endorsement percentage has remained stable.
Forum Activity
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL All posts 211,738 167,731 541,686 62,048 205,181 96,118 654 71,112 126,319 Posts this month 1472 1368 5635 1951 1961 964 82 274 365 Posts per day (Feb only) 52.57 48.86 201.25 69.68 70.04 34.43 2.93 9.79 13.04 Members 3158 922 3325 1520 3072 1920 78 777 1199 New Members this month 24 13 84* 22 52 14 18 8 14 Member per day (Feb only) 0.86 0.46 3.00 0.79 1.86 0.50 0.64 0.29 0.50
* you might notice that, compared to last month, total TNP forum members have decreased. TNP's forum is weird, and must display only some members on the statistics section of the board. So I used the members list and counted up new members in February. Conclusion: TNP is weird?
I have given statistics here per month rather than over all time, since I now have enough data to do that. The North Pacific has both the highest new posts and new members this month, the South Pacific the least of the feeders. The West and East Pacific are roughly equal on posts per day, but the East Pacific has more new members per day, while the West and the Pacific are roughly even on new forum members. The Rejected Realms has a forum activity level conveniently between the feeders and the sinkers. While Osiris and Balder have fewer new members this month, they dwarf Lazarus in new posts - Lazarus has the fewest posts per day of any GCR.
Discord Activity
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Public posts 133,067 382,518 791,732 212,619 138,890 656,737 65,786 136,064 180,085 Posts this Month 12963 14691 36157 21933 54892 86244 3106 11202 6044 Posts per day (Feb only) 463.0 524.7 1291.3 783.3 1960.4 3080.1 110.9 400.1 215.9 Members 886 375 1162 375 307 263 235 199 184 New Members this month 77 22 84 -7 76 15 -3 12 12 Members per day (Feb only) 2.75 0.79 3.00 -0.25 2.71 0.54 -0.11 0.43 0.43
This month there were sometimes large disparities between the mathematical difference in post count and the actual number of posts in the month - I believe channels were deleted or hidden in some servers. Luckily, Discord allows searching of all posts in a given time, so those figures have been used for posts per month rather than subtraction as with the forums.
The East Pacific has by far the most public posts this month, Lazarus the least. Among the feeders, the Pacific and the South Pacific have the fewest posts, nearly matched by the most Discord-active sinker, Osiris. The Rejected Realms has, as before, the highest post count (a title it holds even with bot posts removed, as shown below). There seem to be three feeders with similar net growth in membership (the Pacific, the North Pacific, and the East Pacific), while the South Pacific trails behind, and the West Pacific is so far behind that it is losing members, as is Lazarus.
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Posts in January 12963 14691 36157 21933 54982 86244 3106 11202 6044 Bot interaction 6250 1939 15467 6064 4700 28502* 0 4698 0 Human Interaction 6713 12752 20690 15869 50282 57742 3106 6504 6044 Percentage Human Interaction 51.8 86.8 57.2 72.4 91.5 67.0 100.0 58.1 100.0
*this is the number of posts by WerewolfBot times two. For all other regions, I used the number of posts in channels used primarily for bot interaction. In my last post on this, Osiris did not have a primarily bot spam channel, but now it appears to, and has been counted as such.
As before, the East Pacific has the highest amount of human interaction out of those discords with frequent bot interaction, with the South Pacific's amount of human interaction rising to second highest. The Pacific has the highest amount of bot interaction, perhaps because bot interaction is relatively public, and general human chatter may occur in private channels, which I am assured there are many of in the Pacific discord. Even with such a high amount of bot interaction, the Rejected Realms still holds the highest amount of posts interacting with humans, probably partly thanks to the high amount of human interaction in the #werewolf channel, which I think might never cease to amaze me.
MARCHPopulation
Table 1 - 13th to 20th March
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Population 7948 8519 10,267 8308 8497 4421 5881 5667 5658 Founded/week 2335 2412 2508 2447 2363 1218 1311 1353 CTE/week 1204 1273 1301 1205 1529 478 636 609 668 Nations entering/week 93 140 212 76 118 1198 106 23 44 Nations leaving/week 1364 1342 1354 1335 1301 579 676 698 737 Net growth/week -140 -63 65 -17 -349 141 12 27 -8
This month, we join at a point where some regions have risen and some have fallen in overall population. Osiris, Lazarus and Balder have lost roughly 100 nations since late February, and the Pacific’s lost 400. The other half have gained population. The North Pacific’s gained almost 500, the Rejected Realms 600, while the East Pacific has gained the least, only 50 (perhaps since it has the highest CTE number by far). It does strike me as slightly unusual that it’s split like this. As seems the norm, the North and South Pacifics have the highest immigration, with the East Pacific just behind. Lazarus is also doing fairly well in immigration. I’m just going to chalk this up to raider and defender subversives. Emigration is roughly even across the feeders and across the sinkers. The East Pacific has by far the highest net loss, which seems to correlate with its extra CTEs. It’s the highest CTE number I’ve seen so far, I believe, and I’d analyse it further if I knew how. But I don’t, so I won’t. The North Pacific, thanks to its high immigration, is the only feeder with net growth this month.
Table 2 - 23rd to 30th March
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Population 7809 8394 10,125 8275 8411 4341 5728 5597 5651 Founded/week 2420 2352 2309 2359 2337 1329 1419 1350 CTE/week 1167 1280 1388 1182 1222 640 680 701 661 Nations entering/week 80 125 190 65 151 1177 72 39 34 Nations leaving/week 1273 1181 1170 1155 1261 677 914 920 836 Net growth/week 60 16 -59 87 5 -140 -193 -163 -113
Now there’s a slight deflation of roughly 150 to 50 nations in each GCR, which seems to be thanks to slightly fewer foundings and refoundings. (This type of monthly pulsation is why I chose the name Heartbeat!) The East Pacific overtakes the South Pacific in immigration, which I suspect is because of the Loligarchy event, though the North Pacific is ahead as always, and the West Pacific has the least of the feeders as before. Lazarus’ increased immigration is still present but reduced, and Balder and Osiris have risen closer to it. There is little net growth in the feeders this week, and every sinker has a net loss. The Rejected Realms manages to pretty much break even over the two weeks measured, which is cool.
Regional Engagement and Demographics
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Avg residency 124 118 129 103 109 128 150 117 121 Avg influence 312 935 6608 670 1178 586 620 312 328 RMB messages in week 3705 3564(+868*) 9966 334 3517 870 189 134 62 WFE Changes in March 8 6 9 2 4 6 16 0 0
*Posts made via embassy to Knowhere, an official TSP roleplaying region.
There’s not really much significant change in average residency or influence. Balder pulls ahead of Osiris in residency, and the Pacific pulls ahead of the South Pacific. The Rejected Realms’ residency falls a little and the Lazarus residency rises (perhaps nations under 150 days are more likely to get banned from Lazarus for being counter-revolutionary?). Influence rises in all regions but the North Pacific, where it falls just slightly but not enough to knock it off its first place. The highest rise is in the East Pacific, by 225 influence points per nation. Average influence falls very slightly in Lazarus and Osiris, but rises in Balder. Overall distribution of RMB messages remains similar across the feeders and the Rejected Realms, while the overall number rises, except in the East Pacific which seems to have gone wild over the Loligarchy with over four times the number of messages as the same time last month. Similarly, Lazarus’ amount of messages have risen. Balder is the only GCR in which RMB post numbers have fallen. Presumably due to the turmoil in Lazarus, it’s had by far the most WFE changes this month. Everywhere else is pretty much the same as last month. Special shout-out to Balder, where the WFE hasn’t been changed for over a year now except to change Discord invite links.
WA Stats
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Endorsements per week 350 2782 14174 1067 8557 2327 51 117 Admits/week 49 56 91 54 53 28 21 23 Endorsements on del 538 557 1073 588 780 240 190 195 326 Total WA 715 837 1566 753 1007 545 413 334 435 Percent of WA on del 0.75 0.67 0.69 0.78 0.77 0.44 0.46 0.58 0.75 Percentage of region WA 0.09 0.10 0.16 0.09 0.12 0.14 0.07 0.06 0.08 Avg endos 0.37 2.99 22.58 1.79 6.54 1.44 1.21 0.37 0.25
I don’t think I can emphasize enough how hellish the task is of counting the endorsements in the North Pacific, especially when it’s about a quarter extra this month. But the East Pacific is catching up, having quadrupled its endorsement amount from last month (strangely average endorsements fell?). The South Pacific more than doubled theirs, but it wasn’t enough to keep their lead over the East Pacific. Presumably by next month, the East Pacific will have enough endorsements in a week to coup every other GCR and back. Lazarus’s gain is a lot more concentrated than the others: anecdotal evidence, I know, but it seemed to be only a handful of people tarting there that gave most of those endorsements, while in the other GCRs it seemed more spread out. Almost a quarter of the total endorsements were given by Cormac, who was then kicked. Balder, the West Pacific, and Osiris all had gains, while the Pacific had the only loss, presumably because I didn’t catch a tarting spree this time. Admits are pretty much the same as last month.
Region WA percentages are also pretty much the same, with increases of 1% in the South and East Pacific, and 2% in Balder – the rest are the same. Percentage of WA nations endorsing delegate has risen in all GCRs except the North Pacific and Lazarus, with the highest rise in the Rejected Realms at 5%. In Lazarus, less than half of WA nations now endorse the delegate – that’s a fall of 14% of WA nations. Overall numbers support this – the only regions with fewer delegate endorsements than last month are Osiris and Lazarus. Balder's rise has given it the highest delegate endorsement count for a sinker yet. Osiris has a drop of ten endorsements, Lazarus seventy, which seems a little more of a loss in both percentage and number than the average delegate transition.
Forum Activity
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL All posts 213,385 168,419 550,842 62,549 206,478 96,813 0 71,267 127,538 Posts in Month 1647 688 9156 501 1297 695 0 155 1219 Posts per day this month 58.82 24.57 327.00 17.89 46.32 24.82 0 5.54 43.54 Members 3184 934 3325 1538 3147 1940 0 793 1220 New Members 26 12 121 18 75 20 0 16 21 Members/day/month 0.93 0.43 3.9 0.64 2.68 0.71 0 0.57 0.75
So there’s something weird with the North Pacific forum that makes it record its member numbers weirdly. I can’t just go and take the numbers off the forum stats, I have to go into the members list and count manually. I’m pretty sure that’s due to the ridiculously high member number, and then due to the ridiculously high new members a week. Every other region gets more new Discord members than forum members, but the North Pacific is different and I can’t quite figure out why.
The West Pacific’s forum activity has fallen the most, now having fewer posts per month than the South Pacific. However the South Pacific gained the fewest new forum members. The East Pacific’s forum activity has also fallen but it’s still getting more new members than last month. Balder’s posts per day doubled this month but the North Pacific is still undisputably the most active forum. (Perhaps that activity is why the North Pacific has more new forum members than Discord members – they haven’t made the switch that most other GCRs seem to have?) Osiris has the most inactive forum, with 6 posts per day. Lazarus skilfully dodge being the most inactive forum this month by just not having a forum anymore.
Discord Activity
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Public posts 158,170 416,290 862,690 312,702 264,194 797,466 96,897 145,133 194,066 Posts in Month 24,531 33,625 70,438 19,818 125,913 142,754 7498 8988 13,780 Posts per day this month 791.3 1084.7 2272.2 639.3 4061.7 4605.0 241.9 289.9 444.5 Members 949 422 1208 385 440 311 274 204 207 New Members 63 47 46 10 133 48 39 5 23 Members/day/month 2.25 1.68 1.64 0.36 4.75 1.71 1.39 0.18 0.82
In almost every Discord, message count per day has almost doubled over last month. The exceptions are the Rejected Realms, which had the highest message count anyway, and only increased by a third, and Osiris and the West Pacific where Discord message count fell. As shown below, in both Osiris and the West Pacific there was actually a slight rise in human interaction, and the fall is actually due to a fall in bot interaction – but still, there’s a disparity in the rise between these two GCRs and the others. It seems there’s been a campaign in the East Pacific to get people to join Discord – if so it’s worked, because they have the highest new Discord members of any GCR. Osiris and the West Pacific have the lowest amount of new members, correlating to their low activity rise. Balder has the most Discord activity of the sinkers. Lazarus’ rise in members is presumably due to the abolition of the forum.
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Posts in January 24,531 33,625 70,438 19,818 125,913 142,754 7498 8988 13,780 Bot interaction 11,468 6975 48,905 2141 15,239 52,870 0 1285 295 Human Interaction 13,063 26,650 21,533 17,677 110,674 89,884 7498 7703 13,485 Percentage Human Interaction 53.3 79.3 30.6 89.2 87.9 63.0 100.0 85.7 97.9
I’m pretty sure the rise in bot interaction in the South and East Pacific Discords is entirely due to the introduction of Werewolf bots to both. I have no idea why the North Pacific’s amount of bot interaction has risen so drastically, though. It could just be down to single people playing trivia or using the chatbot feature. It’s definitely not a fault in measuring – I checked the number of messages from one bot, and it’s over 21,000. Doubling accounts for humans inputting commands, and the rest seems to come from a different bot. Osiris only got their bot in February, and it seems the novelty has worn off a bit this month, with their bot interaction falling drastically. The West Pacific too has had a fall in bot interaction. In every Discord server, there’s been an increase in human interaction by numbers. The East Pacific overtakes the Rejected Realms in number of human interaction messages this month, though I do wonder how much was due to the chaos of the Loligarchy... I suppose we'll find out next month!
APRILThis time, I have graphs! I've made them only for some of the stats that NationStates doesn't already make graphs for, because that would feel a bit redundant. Also, many people have asked how I will deal with the many Discord servers created for Lazarus. I will, as always, use what is official at the end of the month. Sorry. I'm not lazy, I'm just sane.
Population
Table 1 - 4th to 13th April
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Population 8075 8386 10037 8221 8381 4240 6580 6453 6568 Founded/week 2445 2377 2401 2363 2268 1408 1486 1529 CTE/week 1016 1221 1351 1229 1210 614 638 690 656 Nations entering/week 75 128 218 59 121 1306 45 19 46 Nations leaving/week 1411 1251 1238 1261 1320 712 720 705 697 Net growth/week 93 33 30 -68 -141 -20 95 110 222
Table 2 - 22nd to 29th April
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Population 8217 8656 10242 8181 8661 4319 6745 6478 6464 Founded/week 2591 2508 2570 2509 2507 1099 1137 1038 CTE/week 1099 1153 1264 1214 1106 543 756 734 722 Nations entering/week 81 107 254 54 165 1341 269 32 45 Nations leaving/week 1444 1278 1349 1277 1313 687 583 516 464 Net growth/week 129 184 211 72 253 111 29 -81 -103
Overall population has increased slightly over the two weeks, seemingly due to an increase in foundings, in every GCR except the West Pacific, the Rejected Realms, and Balder.
In the last week of the month, Lazarus had the highest immigration of any GCR, as subversives of all shapes and colors flooded in. The North Pacific maintains the highest immigration of the feeders, with the East Pacific and South Pacific not far behind. The West Pacific has the least immigration of the feeders, and Osiris of the sinkers. (I'm writing this section last. "The West Pacific least x of the feeders and Osiris least x of the sinkers" seems to be a common theme this month.) The Pacific has the highest number of nations leaving. In early March, it just about had the most nations leave, but since then, its comparative emigration seems to have risen.
Early in the month, the sinkers had higher net gain than the feeders in general. I believe this is due to nations being refounded for the April Fools' event. Later in the month, however, thereIn the first week, the East Pacific had the most net loss, and Balder the most net increase. In the second, however, Balder had the most loss and the East Pacific the most gain. Swings and roundabouts.
Over the last few months, the sinkers except the Rejected Realms seem to have net gains and losses at the same time, while the feeders generally follow the same patterns but are more spread out. For example mid-March - compare the gap between the East and North Pacific in the following graph. The Rejected Realms follows its own patterns, which are largely dependent on what region is being purged this week.
Net increase/decrease in nations
The curve in the above graph might suggest that there are massive changes in foundings, but really changes are happening on quite a small scale. There has indeed been a dip in foundings, then a recent rise, but these are pretty small. The site isn't in danger yet. There have indeed been outliers - such as the massive fall in CTEs in late January, and the spike in late February. Overall however, things have seemed stable over the last four months. Looking closer to the present, the rise in refoundings in early April makes sense to me as the result of the April Fools' event, though I'm not sure why they have fallen below previous levels since. Perhaps everyone has just blown through their reserves of dead nations and there's nothing left. I'd also predict a large amount of CTEs next month. There has also been another rise in foundings, which I will assume is because it is exam season and people are desperate to procrastinate.
Overall foundings, refoundings and CTEs
Regional Engagement and Demographics
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Avg residency 121 118 131 107 108 126 136 110 114 Avg influence 291 971 6644 686 1386 520 613 271 304 RMB messages in week 2223 3216(1762/224*) 12026 339 4957 839 1419 106 137 WFE changes 10 2 8 3 3 6 15 1 0
*Posted via embassy to Knowhere and Psomewhere, official South Pacific roleplaying regions. 5202 total.
Changes in residency and influence have been fairly small. The biggest change in residency is the drop in Lazarus, from 150 days to 136, as many new nations have moved in and at least one high-residency nation has been removed from the region. Average influence has risen by roughly 200 in the East Pacific, and 50 in the South Pacific. It has fallen by 60 in the Rejected Realms, likely due to influx of new nations, and fallen slightly in both Balder and the Pacific. There have been tons of WFE changes in Lazarus, reflecting the many changes in the region.
The North Pacific still has the most RMB posts over a week, with the East and South Pacific the next highest at around 5000 messages. The Pacific's number of RMB posts has risen by around 1000, and Lazarus' by 1200. The West Pacific had the fewest of the feeders, and Osiris the least of the sinkers.
Number of RMB posts in a week
WA Stats
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Endorsements per week 217 2325 18431 1542 4094 14304 161 215 Admits/week 45 67 75 56 105 60 35 43 Endorsements on del 513 612 1095 581 832 275 273 173 385 Total WA 688 875 1596 732 1047 707 527 326 492 Percent of WA on del 0.75 0.70 0.69 0.79 0.79 0.39 0.52 0.53 0.78 Percentage of region WA 0.08 0.10 0.16 0.09 0.12 0.18 0.09 0.06 0.09 Avg endos 0.32 3.33 23.39 1.99 6.75 1.49 3.07 0.3 0.29
Lazarus has shot up in the endorsements given in a week - I can't imagine why! The North Pacific is still first in endorsements per week, though, having almost doubled the number from last month. The numbers of endorsements given has actually risen in every GCR except the Pacific, where it has halved.
Number of endorsements given in a week
The East and West Pacific currently share the highest percentage of endorsements on the delegate, with Balder not far behind. The Rejected Realms and Osiris both had their endorsement percentage fall - I believe this can be explained in the Rejected Realms by the increased number of WA nations in the region, many of who have likely not logged in since being banned to endorse the delegate. The North Pacific now has the lowest percentage among the feeders. The South Pacific's and Balder's percentages both rose by 3%, the second highest rise, but despite the recent delegate transition, Lazarus' endorsement percentage increased the most of any GCR, presumably due to low support last month and a lot of external endorsements this month.
Percentage of WA nations endorsing the delegate
The percentage of nations in the World Assembly has stayed stable for most regions. The North Pacific still has the highest percentage. The Pacific's percentage fell by 1%, and Balder's rose by 1%. Both the Rejected Realms and Lazarus had significant increases this month. Lazarus rose from 7% to 9%, presumably due to an influx of WA nations, and the Rejected Realms rose from 14% to 18%. I believe this is due to many WA nations being banned this month, perhaps in raids.
Percentage of nations in the WA
Total number of nations in the WA - spoilered because the pattern is so similar to the last graphSpoiler: click to toggle
Forum Activity
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL All posts 214,695 169,126 557,800 62,822 207,761 98,251 995 71,387 128,687 Posts in Month 1310 707 6958 273 1283 1438 995 120 1149 Posts per day this month 43.67 23.57 231.93 9.10 42.77 47.93 497.50 4.00 38.30 Members 3213 955 3323 1571 3222 1960 78 805 1252 New Members 29 21 90 33 75 20 78 12 32 Members/day/month 0.97 0.70 3.00 1.10 2.50 0.67 39.00 0.40 1.07
Before anyone gets their hopes up, there aren't any graphs for forums because I only have three data points for the data I'd want to make a graph of (new posts per month). Three isn't enough for a good graph in my opinion, so that will wait until next time.
The North Pacific has both the most new members and the most new posts. The Rejected Realms' amount of forum posts have doubled this month, placing them 100 posts more than the next two GCRs, the East Pacific and the Pacific, though the East Pacific has more than triple the amount of new members than the Rejected Realms. The West Pacific has the least forum posts of the feeders this month, and Osiris the least of the sinkers. The South Pacific had the fewest new forum members. Lazarus gained a new forum this week, and so I have measured its per-day averages as over the few days it has been in existence. This gives it the most new members per day and the most new posts per day. In merely three days, the new Lazarus forum already has as many members as the Undead Dominion's forum, and almost double the posts made on it over several months. We shall see soon if it can maintain activity.
Discord Activity
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Public posts 158,170 416,290 862,690 312,702 264,194 797,466 111,408 145,133 194,066 Posts in Month 17,078 16,684 70,647 24,338 89,292 70,970 11,408 20,710 22,433 Posts per day this month 550.9 538.2 2278.9 785.1 2880.4 2289.4 1901.3 668.1 723.6 Members 1006 452 1242 397 536 325 149 206 229 New Members 57 30 34 12 96 14 149 2 22 Members/day/month 2.04 1.07 1.21 0.43 3.43 0.50 24.83 0.07 0.79
Lazarus, for probably obvious reasons, has gained the most new Discord members this month. The East Pacific is not far behind, with almost 100 new members, while the West Pacific has the fewest new members of the feeders. While the Pacific also gained many, it has the advantage of recruiting from several games. Among the sinkers, with Lazarus accounted for, Balder and the Rejected Realms gained a similar amount of members, while Osiris gained the fewest new members of any GCR at only two in a month. Over the last four months, almost every GCR has gained a significant amount of Discord members - the East, North and the Pacific have had the fastest rise. However the numbers in the West Pacific and Osiris have risen very, very little. Lazarus has technically lost members in the last month but I'll give them a pass since it's a new server.
Total Discord members
Region TP TSP TNP TWP TEP TRR LAZ OSI BAL Posts in January 17078 16,684 70647 24,338 89,292 70970 11408 20710 22433 Bot interaction 5168 3207 32619 6184 12706 13663 1062 1466 259 Human Interaction 11910 13,477 38028 18,154 76,586 57307 10346 19244 22174 Percentage Human Interaction 69.7 80.8 53.8 74.6 85.8 80.7 90.7 92.9 98.8
The East Pacific has now overtaken the Rejected Realms in both overall messages and human-only messages. Lazarus has a very high amount of messages per day, because their server was created a week ago - it will be interesting to see, when the initial flurry dies down, the eventual posts per day it will settle at. In overall messages, the North Pacific has risen to the level of the Rejected Realms, but when its bot interaction is removed, it is still 20,000 messages behind the Rejected Realms. Overall messages have fallen in the East Pacific, the Rejected Realms, and the South Pacific, while rising slightly in every other GCR.
The North Pacific's total messages have remained stable, yet its bot interaction has fallen to the same extent its human interaction has risen. Human interaction has also risen 10% in the Pacific and 17% in the Rejected Realms. Osiris, Balder and Lazarus all have bot interaction equalling less than 10% of all messages, and human interaction percentage has increased in both Osiris and Balder.
Total Discord messages each month
Discord messages each month with bot interaction removed
It feels slightly perverse to finish off a post with an image, so I will take this opportunity to thank people for their support and their interest in this project.
The Heartbeat of the GCRs
Moderators: Giangsang, Manson, Delegate
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Manson
- Posts: 4039
- Joined: 02 Jul 2017, 00:00
- Discord: ereh#8503
- Location: The Rejected Realms
The Heartbeat of the GCRs
Published by Nakari under the alias "The Heartbeat", the Heartbeat of the GCRs series that ran from January of 2018 to April of 2018 is a masterpiece of a technical NS series. It provides so much insight on the inner machinations of the GCRs (Game-Created Regions) and overall just encourages the GCRs to improve and become more active.
Fratt wrote:Welcome to the Meatgrinder.
The average life expectancy of a Manson deputy after their appointment is four days. Good luck.